基于时空视角下的上海节庆旅游发展研究

Research on the development of Shanghai festival tourism from spatial and temporal perspective

对区域范围内节庆旅游发展进行研究,不仅有助于正确认识节庆区域性时空变化特征,而且对整合优化区域旅游资源也具有深远的意义.以1981~2010年期间上海举行的节庆活动为研究样本,采用百度新闻搜索、季节性强度指数和Arcgis空间分析的方法,从时空视角下,对上海节庆旅游发展的年际变化特征、年内变化特征和空间分布特征进行分析.结果表明：30年间,上海节庆旅游数量快速增加.在年际变化方面,若以10年作为一个时间序列来划分,则上海节庆旅游发展大致可以分为3个阶段;在年内变化方面,上海节庆旅游主要集中分布在9月和10月2个月份.根据测算,上海节庆活动的季节性强度指数较高,但随着时间的变化,季节强度指数在变小;在空间分布方面,目前,上海节庆旅游空间分布比较均匀.在10个研究区域中,中心城区和崇明县举办节庆活动相对集中.

Studying the development of regional festival tourism can not only help to obtain a correct understanding of the regional spatial and temporal change characteristics but also exert a profound significance on the integration and optimization of regional tourism resources. Taking festival activities held in Shanghai during 1981 ~ 2010 as the study samples,the paper uses the Baidu news search,seasonal intensity index and Arcgis tool to analyze inter-annual variation characteristics,intra-annual variation characteristics and spatial distribution characteristics of Shanghai festival tourism. The results show that the number of Shanghai tourism festivals during the past 30 years increases rapidly. As for the inter-annual variation,the Shanghai festival tourism development can be roughly divided into three stages. As to the intra-annual variation,Shanghai festival tourism is mainly centered in September and October. The seasonal intensity index of Shanghai festival activities remains highly but it is decreasing recently. In the aspect of the spatial distribution,festival tourism in Shanghai is evenly distributed. Festival activities held in the central urban area and Chongming County are relatively concentrative compared to the other areas in Shanghai.