城镇化路径实施的国际镜鉴与动力找寻

International Mirror and Power Search of Urbanization Path

基于社会总产品供需关系并延续诺瑟姆"S"曲线理论思路,建立"四维"理论分析模型,总结出城镇化发展的一般规律:在产业发展与消费需求两大动力和城市底层人群的生存发展和城市生态环境问题两大阻力的共同作用下,城镇化呈现出螺旋式发展态势。解决中国城镇化发展后劲不足的问题,应从产业升级、城镇消费需求增长、农民工生存条件和城镇环境的改善等方面着手。

Based on social total product supply and demand relationship and continuation of Northam ＂s＂ curve theory, the paper establishes the ＂four dimensional＂ theoretical analysis model and summarizes the general rules of the development of urbanization： urbanization shows spiral development trend under the combined action of the two force of industrial development and consumption demand and the two resistance of the urban bottom population＇s living and development and urban ecological environment problem. To solve the problem of lack motive force of the sustainable development of urbanization in China , We should take measures in the aspects of industrial upgrading, the growth of urban consumer demand, the living conditions of migrant workers and improvement of the urban environment and so on.