中国城市化进程效率估算及影响因素分析

Efficiency Estimation and Influencing Factors of China's Urbanization Process

本文基于2008—2012年中国285个地级市的数据,运用双边随机前沿模型测算了中国城市化进程的前沿水平以及实际水平相对前沿水平的偏离程度。结果发现,下偏效应大于上偏效应,即中国城市化进程整体表现为滞后,并且发现投资作用和政府作用在影响城市化进程中的表现为负向,另外城市化进程也表现出地区间的不平衡。最后根据本文的发现,提出相应的建议。

This article is based on the data from 2008 to 2012, and 285 Chinese prefecture cities, by using bilateral stochastic fron-tier model to measure the level of the forefront of China＇ s urbanization process and the actual level of relative level of deviation degreeof the frontier. Results show that low partial effect is greater than the upper partial effect, namely the whole China urbanization processis characterized by lagging, and find that investment and government role in the influence of urbanization in the expression is negative,and that urbanization also shows the regional imbalance. Finally according to the findings, this paper puts fox-ward the correspondingsuggestions.