我国居民文化消费影响因素探析

Analysis of Impact of Chinese Household's Culture Consumption

运用我国1983—2012年的数据,通过实证分析考察了可支配收入、教育水平、金融发展和政府文化事业支出对我国居民文化消费的影响。长期均衡分析结果表明,教育水平和金融发展对我国居民文化消费具有显著的促进作用;教育水平提高1%,居民文化消费增加0.454%;金融机构信贷提高1%,居民文化消费增加0.363%;可支配收入和政府文化事业支出对居民文化消费的影响不显著。脉冲响应分析结果表明,可支配收入冲击对居民文化消费的影响在短期由正向转为负向,教育水平冲击和金融发展冲击对居民文化消费短期具有正向影响,政府文化事业支出冲击对居民文化消费短期具有负面影响。根据实证分析的结论,文章提出了扩大我国居民文化消费的政策建议。

Using the data from the period of 1983 to 2012,this paper explores the influence of income,education,financial development and government culture expenditure on Chinese household＇s culture consumption. Cointegration analysis shows that,education and financial development have positive effect on Chinese household＇s culture consumption,with the education level increases by1%,household＇s culture consumption will increase by 0. 454%; and with the financial development increase by 1%,household＇s culture consumption will increase by 0. 363%. The influences of income and government culture expenditure on household＇s culture consumption are insignificant. Impulse function analysis shows that the impact of income on culture consumption changes from positive to negative,education and financial development have positive effect in short run,whereas government culture expenditure has negative effect. Based on the results derived from the empirical analysis,we give policy implications for how to increase Chinese household＇s culture consumption.