基于RS-SPA-Markov chain的生物质气化站安全评价与预测模型研究

Research on Safety Assessment and Prediction Model of Biomass Gasification Station Based on RS-SPA-Markov Chain

本文在资料收集、实地考察、专家评估的基础上,建立了相对通用的生物质气化站安全评价指标体系,引入了RS-SPA-Markov chain安全评价与预测模型。通过实例应用,证明了该模型应用于生物质气化站安全评价与预测的可行性和科学性,为生物质气化站安全评价与预测提供了一种新的途径。

A relatively general safety assessment index system of biomass gasification station is established based on data collection,on- the- spot investigation and expert evaluation and RS- SPA- Markov chain safety assessment and prediction model is also introduced. It is proved feasible and scientific to apply the model in safety assessment and prediction of biomass gasification station by example application. A new way of safety assessment and prediction of biomass gasification station is provided.