经济新常态下中国小麦市场运行趋势及调控思路

China's Wheat Market Trend under the Economic New Normal and the Regulation Suggestions

经济发展新常态下中国小麦市场运行呈现四大趋势特点,一是国内小麦生产能力跨上新台阶,供给总量充足;二是人均口粮消费逐步减少,小麦消费总量缓慢增长;三是小麦市场波动性将加大,政策市特点明显弱化;四是政府直接干预减少,调控将更多运用市场化手段。提出了调控思路建议,一是强化供给侧结构调整,扩大优质专用小麦种植规模;二是加强小麦全产业链信息监测和服务,提高市场调控科学性和有效性;三是完善托市粮拍卖政策,促进市场流通顺畅。

There are four characteristics of China＇s wheat market under the economic new normal.First,wheat production capacity has reached a new level,and wheat supply is adequate.Second,per capita wheat consumption decreases gradually,while the total demand increases slowly.Third,wheat market fluctuation becomes more frequent.Fourth,the government takes more market-oriented methods to adjust wheat supply and demand.Finally,the author put forward some regulation suggestions.First,the supply-side structure adjustment should be strengthened and the planting scale of high quality and special wheat should be expanded.Second,the whole chain information monitoring and service of wheat industry should be strengthened,and the market regulation should be more scientific and effective.Third,the auction of policy grain should be improved,and the market circulation should be smoother.