近10年世界油料生产分析与未来走势展望

World Oil Production in Recent Ten Years and Its Future Trend

近10年,世界油料和食用植物油生产规模逐渐扩大,品种分布格局出现明显变化,产区分布逐步集中,国际贸易量和库存量震荡走高。预计未来几年,受全球大豆丰产、国际油料和食用植物油库存高企、需求无大幅增加的动力以及原油价格低位运行等因素的压制,国际油料和食用植物油市场价格将低位运行,世界油料生产增速放缓。

In recent 10 years,the production scales of oilseeds and edible vegetable oil have gradually expanded in the world,the distribution pattern of the oilseed species has changed obviously,the producing regions have concentrated gradually,and both international trade volume and inventory have continued to higher volatility under upward trend.In the coming years,impacted by some factors such as the global high soybean production,the international high inventory of oilseeds and edible vegetable oil,the stable demand and the low price of crude oil,international market prices of oilseeds and edible vegetable oil will keep a low level,and global oilseeds production will not see a big increase.