2015年煤炭行业形势分析及未来发展研判

Analysis on Coal industry situation in 2015 and study and judgement on future development

回顾了2015年我国煤炭行业发展形势,分析了全年煤炭行业走势和基本运行情况。在此基础上预测了2016年煤炭全行业的供需、产能、价格等情况。预测表明:2016年是煤炭行业加快转型的关键年,整体形势比2015年更加严峻,煤炭企业将面对深度洗牌时期的到来。通过对煤炭行业在近3年市场低迷背景下,行业生产力所受影响的整体分析,以及能源需求和煤炭生产的预测,近一步探讨了未来3年煤炭行业实现逐步复苏的可能性,并从国家层面和企业提出了使煤炭行业平稳复苏、进入可持续发展阶段的政策建议。

The paper had a review on the situation of the coal industry in 2015 and analyzed the trend and basic operation condition of the coal industry in the whole year of 2015. Based on the circumstances, the paper had a prediction on the supply and demand, production capacity, prices and other condition of the coal industry in 2016. The prediction showed that the year of 2016 would be a key year of the coal industry to speed up the transformation, the integrated situation would be more serious than the year of 2015 and the coal industry would face the coming of a deep shuffling period. Under the background of the over three years market depression for the coal industry, with a integrated analysis on the influences suffered by the coal industry and the prediction on the energy de- mands and the coal production, the paper had a further discussion on a possibility of the coal industry to steadily realize the recovery in the late three years. From the national level and the enterprise level, the paper provided the policy proposals to make the coal in- dustry steadily recovered and to be in a sustainable development stage.