基于区间灰色预测模型的飞机轮胎磨损预测技术研究

The Research Based on the Extent Grey Prediction Model for the Airplane Tyre Abrasion Forecast

根据区间灰数的预测方法,建立了飞机轮胎磨损量的预测模型.首先分析影响轮胎磨损的因素,其次建立区间灰色预测模型,然后进行误差计算,最后得出预测结果.根据该预测模型可以得到满意的预测精度,从而为该型飞机轮胎维护制定正确的维护方案.

This paper adopt the extent grey prediction method,set up the forecast model of the airplane tyre abrasion.First analysis the influence factors of the tyre abrasion,Second set up the extent grey prediction forecast mode,third calculate the forecast difference with the practical data,at last find out the forecast result.According the forecast result,the satisfaction forecast precision is got.According the forecast result,the correct maintenance project is got for this kind of airplane.