我国城镇化与城乡居民收入差距关系研究

The Research on Relationship of China's Urbanization and Urban-rural Residents' Income Gap

城镇化对城乡居民收入差距的影响广受关注,通过对1985-2012年全国城镇化率与城乡居民收入比时序数据、31个地区2012年的横截面数据进行分析,发现我国城镇化水平与城乡居民收入差距关系呈现倒U型关系,与美、日、韩三国关系一致;通过数学模型估计得到,我国城乡居民收入差距演变趋势的拐点出现在城镇化率为51.4%的水平,我国城乡居民收入差距2011年已经进入拐点;未来要缩小我国城乡居民收入差距,需要继续推进城镇化建设、积极发展中西部地区、有效利用政府政策措施.

The impact of urbanization on the urban-rural residents＇ income gap has attracted broad interest.1985-2012 national urbanization rate and the urban-rural residents＇ income ratio,31 regions nationwide cross-sectional data in 2012 are analyzed and this paper founds that urbanization level and urban-rural residents＇ income gap has an inverted U-shaped relationship which is consistent with the United States,Japan and South Korea;Through mathematical model,inflection point in the evolution trend of urban-rural residents＇ income gap was 51.4%in urbanization level.The income gap in China in 2011 entered the inflection point;In future,to narrow the income gap between urban and rural residents,government needs to continue to promote urbanization,the positive development of the Midwest,the effective use of government policy measures.