石油天然气行业科研创新与产出的关系研究

Research on the Relationship between Oil and Gas Industry of Scientific Research Innovation and Output

基于大数据思想、情报计量学理论、创新管理理论、计量经济学理论,对石油天然气行业的论文数据与油气产量数据进行分析,以验证石油天然气行业科研创新与行业产出之间的关系。通过分析发现:石油天然气行业论文数量与行业油气产量之间存在显著相关的关系;社会科学方面的研究成果相对自然科学方面的研究成果对于行业油气产量影响较少。经过平稳性检验、自相关检验、异方差检验等,得出中国科学引文数据库收录的石油天然气行业论文数与油气产量之间存在确定性的函数关系。

Based on large data thought and intelligence metrology theory, innovation management theory, econometric theo- ry, papers of oil and gas industry data and oil and gas production data are analyzed to verify the relationship between the output of oil and gas industry and scientific research innovation. By analyzing those data, this paper finds that the number of oil and gas industry and industry＇ s output exist a significant correlation relationship. Secondly the research of social sci- ences show relatively weak influence on oil and gas production than natural science research. Through stationarity test, au- tocorrelation test, different variance test, etc. , it is concluded that the number of papers which are retrieved by Chinese science citation database in oil and gas industry has a deterministic function with oil and gas production. Finally this paper expounds the detail economic meaning of each part, and makes a research summary of it.