项目组合的冲突风险评价模型被引量：1

A Conflict Risk Assessment Model for Project Portfolio

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摘要基于项目组合管理的流程,识别出不同阶段潜在的利益相关者之间的冲突风险,即目标冲突风险、资源分配冲突风险及合作冲突风险。采用模糊综合评价方法对项目组合的三类冲突风险进行评价。最后将评价模型应用于一个高新技术企业,算例分析的结果表明该模型可以有效得出三类冲突风险的风险评分,并且为企业的风险预防和控制提供指引,使其可以识别评分值最高、危害最大的冲突风险。 The purpose of this paper is to quantify the conflict risk of a project portfolio, so as to determine which conflict risk deserves greater managerial efforts. The conflict risks between stakeholders are identified in each phase of the process of project portfolio management, that is, objective conflict, resource allocation conflict, and cooperation conflict. Then, a fuzzy risk assessment model is proposed to evaluate the three kinds of conflict risks of a project portfolio. Finally, the pro- posed model is applied to a project portfolio in a high - tech enterprise. The numerical results show that this model can as- sess the three types of conflict risks effectively, and provide a roadmap for management team of a project portfolio to control the conflict risks which have high risk values.

作者管杜娟郭鹏

机构地区西北工业大学管理学院

出处《科技管理研究》 CSSCI 北大核心 2016年第5期51-56,共6页 Science and Technology Management Research

基金国家自然科学基金项目"基于交互耦合网络的项目组合风险演化机理与测度模型研究"(71272049) 高等学校博士学科点专项科研基金(博导类)项目"基于系统复杂性的项目组合风险管理研究"(20126102110052) 西北工业大学研究生创意创新种子基金资助项目"系统协调性视角下的项目组合风险测度"(Z2015160)

关键词冲突风险项目组合利益相关者模糊风险评价 conflict risk project portfolio stakeholders fuzzy risk assessment

分类号 F272.3 [经济管理—企业管理] F272.35 [经济管理—企业管理]

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