摘要
深入分析中国煤炭消费增长的影响因素对制定节能减排政策意义重大.在微观、中观和宏观区域层次上利用LMDI法将中国煤炭消费总量变动的影响因素分解为经济效应、结构效应和强度效应.对3种效应在不同区域层次上的稳健性进行检验.结果显示,经济增长驱动煤炭消费,强度效应抑制煤炭消费,结构效应影响较弱;区域越宏观,结构效应的抑制作用微弱增强,强度效应的抑制作用则减弱;从绝对数值来讲,乘法分解的结果在不同区域层次上具有较好的稳健性.
Analysis of the influencing factors on China＇ s coal consumption is important for making the energy-saving and emission-reduction policies. The influence factors are decomposed into economic effect, structural effect, and intensity effect by using LMDI at the micro, meso, and macro levels, respectively. The robustness of the three effects is tested. Results show that the economic growth increased the coal consumption but the energy intensity decreased the consumption. The results of multiplicative decomposition show good robustness at different regional levels.
出处
《中国科学院大学学报（中英文）》
CSCD
北大核心
2016年第2期162-169,共8页
Journal of University of Chinese Academy of Sciences
基金
中国科学院生态与地理研究所所长基金(Y475061001)资助
关键词
煤炭消费
多层次指数分解
LMDI
乘法分解
coal consumption
muhilevel decomposition
LMDI
multiplicative decomposition
