从国际经济走势看我国经济运行——当前经济运行的问题与对策

Examine China' s Economic Operation from International Economic Trends——Problems and Countermeasures

进入新的世纪,我国经济运行与世界经济运行已经逐渐同步,任何国外经济或市场因素的变化都有可能放大地传导到国内,对国内经济与市场产生重大影响;与上世纪经济运行相比,我国经济运行已经产生了性质变化,出现了许多新的特点;我国当前的经济连续下滑与上世纪90年代的经济连续下滑有着诸多不同的表现,当前我国经济存在的主要问题不是经济总量增长率下滑的问题,而是经济结构问题;我们在对当前经济进行调控时,运用需求侧管理的手段还是必要的,而重点要采用供给侧管理的手段;需求侧管理有利于阻止经济短期内继续下滑,但是难以调整经济结构;供给侧管理有利于调整经济结构,保证经济长期持续稳定发展;今后宏观调控的重心应当是在需求侧管理与供给侧管理相结合的基础上,重点抓好供给侧结构改革。

In the new century, China＇s economic operation andthe world＇seconomic operationhave graduallysynchronized. Anychanges in the economyormarkets abroad could be likelytotransfer to the domestic, making significant impactson the domestic economyand the market. In the new century, China＇s economic operation, compared with theeconomic performancein the last century, has produced achange in the nature. There have been any new features. Thecontinuous decline in China＇seconomic growth in current years has manydifferent manifestations compared with the decline in 1990s. The current main problemof China＇s economy is not the decline in economicgrowth, but the economic structure. The demandside management is still necessary inour current economy regulation, however, the supplyside management is the focus. The demandside management is conducive topreventthe economycontinued to declinein the short term, while it is difficultto adjust the economicstructure. On the other hand, the supplyside management is conducive tothe adjustment of economicstructure, ensuring- long-termsustainable and stableeconomicdevelopment. The focus of macro-control in the future should be based on the combination of demand side management and supply side management. And the supply side structural reform is the key.