基于协商视角的证据推理

Evidential reasoning based on negotiation

以管理决策为背景,从协商视角对证据推理进行研究。根据决策者偏好,可以有选择地参与协商,协商的基本思想是在满足决策者个体需求条件下,从整体上尽可能使各证据修正值与每个决策者给出的证据偏差最小,然后得出协商权重进行证据组合。最后,通过算例分析验证了该方法的优越性。

The evidential reasoning from the perspective of negotiation in management decision is researched.Evidence can be selectively involved in negotiation according to decision-makers＇ preference.The proposed method of negotiation is to minimize the overall deviation of modified evidences from evidences offered by decision-makers under the condition of satisfying decision-makers＇ individual needs,and to calculate negotiation weights,with which evidences can be combined reasonably.Numerical examples are also provided to demonstrate the advantages of the proposed method.