干旱条件下农户适应性行为实证研究——来自1079个苹果种植户的调查数据

Factors influencing farmers adapting behavior to drought: Based on 1079 apple household survey data

利用4个苹果主产省的苹果种植户调查数据,采用logit模型和mlogit模型研究苹果种植户适应干旱的影响因素。研究结果表明:户主合作社参与、农户认知等对种植户预防性适应性行为的采取有正向作用;农户认知、果园灌溉情况、信息可获性、便利地域位置、村庄是否有技术员等对种植户采取补救性适应性行为有正向作用。最后根据实证分析结果,提出促进农户适应干旱行为的政策建议。

Based on 1079 apple household survey data of 4 provinces,we utilized logit and mlogit model to make an empirical analysis on factors influencing the farmers＇ adaptive behavior to drought. According to the empirical results,whether farmer join cooperation and the cognition of farmer about drought affected the preventive behavior of apple farmers to drought positively; factors such as the cognition of farmer about drought,whether the orchard can irrigate,information resource,geographical location,whether there was technician in the village affected the remedial behavior of apple farmers to drought positively. Finally,we put forward policies and recommendations to promote farmers taking adaptive behavior to drought based on empirical analysis.