农村劳动力转移对劳动生产率增长的效应分析——基于四川省数据的实证研究

The Effect Analysis of Rural Labor Transfer on Labor Productivity Growth:Based on Data of Sichuan Province

运用Shift-share方法对总劳动生产率的变动因素进行分解,计算出劳动力转移总效应和各产业劳动生产率增长效应,以及各时期和各城市群的劳动力转移效应。结果表明,第一产业的劳动力转移效应小于零,表现为转出效应;第二产业、第三产业的劳动力转移效应大于零,表现为转入效应;长期劳动力转移效应比短期劳动力转移效应小,共变因素对劳动生产率影响较大。因此,继续推进农村劳动力城乡和产业间转移可以提高劳动生产率,有利于促进产业结构调整和区域经济发展。

Using Shift-share method, variable factors of total labor productivity were analyzed, the effect of total labor transfer, the effect of each industry labor productivity growth, and the effect of labor transfer in each period and each urban agglomeration were calculated. The results show that： the labor transfer effect of first industry is less than zero, showing transfer out effect; the labor transfer effect of secondary and tertiary industries is greater than zero, meaning transfer into effect;the labor transfer effect of Long-term is less than that of short-term, and labor productivity is strongly influenced by the covariant factors. Therefore, continuing to push forward the rural labor transfer between urban and rural areas and industries can improve labor productivity; it also can be helpful to promoting the adjustment of the industrial structure and the regional economic development.