基于农户意愿的退耕还林后续补偿问题研究——以河北省张北县和易县为例

Study on Follow-up Compensation of Returning the Grain Land to the Forestry Based on the Farmer's Willingness——A Case Study in Zhangbei County and Yi County, Hebei Province

退耕还林补偿政策直接关系到退耕农户的利益,也关系到退耕还林成果是否能够得到有效巩固。文章站在退耕还林两轮补贴即将到期的时点上,对河北省张北县和易县退耕农户进行实地调查,分析农户对未来补偿政策可能变化的响应,并进一步对农户后续受偿意愿的影响因素进行了计量分析。研究表明,若停止补偿,有发生毁林复耕的可能;调查区退耕农户后续受偿意愿的均值为2350.5元/hm2·年,且地区差异较大;农户年龄、退耕地沙化程度、退耕地目前纯收益、农户对退耕还林生态效益认知、退耕地机会成本评估和退耕补贴影响程度对农户的后续受偿意愿具有显著影响。

Compensation policy of returning the grain land to the forestry is directly related to the interests of farmers, also to consolidation of the results from returning the grain land to the forestry. The research was finished at the time when the two rounds of subsidies were about to expire. Based on the survey of farmers in Zhangbei County and Yi County, Hebei Province, the paper analyzed the response of possible compensation policy changes in the future. Further, the paper made econometric analysis of affecting factors of farmer＇s willingness to accept the followup compensation. The analysis shows that if the compensation is stopped, deforestation for farmland reclamation is likely to occur. It also shows that the mean of the farmer＇s willingness to accept the follow-up compensation is2350.5 yuan·hm-2·a-1, and its regional difference is obvious. 6 variables including age, desertification degree of returned farmland, present net income of returned farmland, ecological benefits cognition of returning the grain land to the forestry, opportunity cost evaluation of returned farmland and effect degree of the compensation have significant effects on farmer＇s willingness to accept the follow-up compensation.