江苏入境旅游流流量与流质时空演化研究

Research on Space-time Evolution of Quality and Quantity about Inbound Tourism Flow in Jiangsu Province

基于2005-2012年的数据,对江苏入境旅游流流量与流质的时空演化展开了研究,研究发现:(1)江苏入境旅游流流量快速增长,旅游流优质,并呈现出小幅浮动下滑态势;(2)入境旅游流量绝对差异与相对差异一直在动态调整,流量格局为寡头垄断,其位序基本稳定,流质绝对差异逐年缩小,并呈现地区均衡化发展趋势;(3)多数地市入境旅游处在单一的外延或内涵增长区中,宿迁、淮安、南通、常州为交替跨区发展;(4)入境旅游流流量呈现高度集聚发展态势,但近年来有所弱化,入境旅游流质的绝对与相对差异呈现出扁平"M"型轨迹,苏中、苏北为优质旅游流,苏南为低质旅游流,苏北地区流质后发优势显著。

Based on data from 2005-2012,taking Jiangsu province as the research sample,space-time evolution of quality and quantity about inbound tourism flow in Jiangsu province is studied.The study finds that：（1）Inbound tourism volume has highspeed growth rate.Tourism flow has high quality,and the quality of inbound tourism flow presents a slightly floating downturn.（2）Absolute difference and relative difference of inbound tourism flow are always in dynamic adjustment.The pattern of inbound tourism flow is an oligopoly,and its rank relation basically stays stable.Absolute difference of inbound tourism flow quality is reduced year by year,and presents a trend of regional equalization（3）Development of inbound tourism of most cities is in single intensive or epitaxial increase,Suqian,Huaian,Nantong and Changzhou are in alternating interregional development.（4）Inbound tourism volume appears highly concentrated developing situation,but the concentration degree is weakened in recent years.Absolute difference and relative difference of quantity about inbound tourism flow present a flat ＂ M＂ trajectory.The middle and north Jiangsu have high-quality inbound tourism flow.The southern Jiangsu has low-quality inbound tourism flow.Backward advantages of quality about inbound tourism flow in north Jiangsu is obvious.