2016年下游主要用钢行业需求分析

ANALYSIS ON STEEL DEMAND FROM MAJOR DOWNSTREAM INDUSTRIES IN 2016

基建投资放缓、住房库存巨大、汽车销量止跌、船舶订单下降、家电产能过剩、机械行业增速放缓、钢材出口量升价跌，2015年钢材下游主要行业增速放缓，压制了钢材消费，下游需求惨淡成为钢材价格持续深跌的一个重要原因。展望2016年，基建与房地产投资延续弱支撑，汽车产业需求微增，高端造船企业潜力较大，家电需求有望改观，机械制造业或成为亮点，钢材出口机遇与挑战并存，相关下游产业市场形势有望好转，对2016年钢材需求将有所拉动。

The growth of steel downstream industries slowed down in 2015. This was reflected in sluggish construction investment, huge housing inventory, stable car sales, declined ship orders, oversupplied household appliances, slowed machinery industry growth and increased steel export with price fall. These suppressed the steel consumption. The gloomy downstream demand became one of important reasons why steel prices continued to drop. Looking ahead to 2106, infrastructure and real estate investment will stay at a weak support, the demand from car industry will slightly increase, the high-end shipbuilding enterprises will have more potentialities, the demand from home appliance is expected to show a positive change, the machinery industry may become a highlight, steel exports will face both opportunities and challenges, the market situation of the relative downstream industries is expected to improve. The combined effect will expand the steel demand to an extent. Steel demands in 2016 will be pulled.