摘要
运用脱钩模型分析到中山市2003—2013年可持续发展状态整体较为乐观,并预计到2015年中山市可持续状态良好,然后运用STIRPAT模型对2002—2013年碳排放与人口、技术、经济、产业结构等影响因素关系研究得出,第二产业比重对中山市碳排放影响系数最大,而经济发展最终引起的碳排放量变化最大。中山市应做好中山市产业结构调整与生产技术提升等减碳工作,追求经济持续稳定增长。
Base on the Decoupling model analysis, Zhonshan＇s Sustainable development was analyzed not bad from 2003 to2013 and will be not bad too in the 2015. Then study on the effect of relationship about Number of population, Technology,Economics and Industrial structure base on the STIRPAT model from 2002 to 2013, Influence coefficient about the proportion of the second industry was analyzed maximum, while the economics has the greatest impact on the change of carbon dioxide emissions. In addition, the dropping of proportion of the second industry and the improving of the Technology is advantageous to cutting down Zhongshan＇s carbon dioxide emissions.
出处
《能源研究与管理》
2016年第1期20-24,共5页
Energy Research and Management
关键词
碳排放
人口数量
技术
经济
产业结构
中山市
carbon dioxide emissions
number of population
technology
economic
industrial structure
Zhongshan city
