摘要
本文利用最小二乘估计法探讨了内生视角下长江经济带市场一体化与经济增长之间的互动影响关系。利用1997-2014年省级面板数据经验研究发现：市场一体化与经济增长之间存在互相促进的内生因果关系;与东部沿海地区相比,这种互动关系在中西部内陆地区表现更为显著。另外,市场一体化与对外开放在促进地区经济增长的过程中存在＂替代效应＂,这意味着为促进地区经济增长,东部沿海倾向于选择对外开放而不是促进本地市场一体化的政策,内陆地区则相反。政策启示是应进一步加强削弱地方市场分割的顶层设计,在提高长江经济带市场一体化水平的同时,建立缓解本地市场一体化与对外开放之间＂替代效应＂的平衡发展机制。
This paper uses Two-Stage Least Squares method（ 2SLS） to analyze the interaction between market integration and regional economic growth in endogenous view. The results show that there exists positive interactive effects between market integration and economic growth,and the effects in inland regions show more significant than that in foreland regions during the period of 1997 - 2014. In addition,there exists obvious＂substitution effect＂between regional market integration and openness,that is,the foreland regions tend to adopt the openness policy instead of promoting regional market integration in order to promote economic growth,while the inland regions show just the opposite. Finally,the paper puts forward several policy implications,such as taking further measures to eliminate local trade protectionism,establishing and optimizing related top-level design system,and building the balanced mechanism to mitigate the＂substitution effect＂between local market integration and openness.
出处
《预测》
CSSCI
北大核心
2016年第1期1-7,共7页
Forecasting
基金
国家社会科学基金资助项目(10BJY064)
教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金资助项目(13YJC630167)
中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目(2015632020201)
关键词
市场一体化
经济增长
联立方程组
2SLS
market integration
economic growth
simultaneous equations system
2SLS
