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应用Workbook模型估计深圳市龙岗区2014年艾滋病疫情 被引量:4

Application of Workbook model to estimation of HIV/AIDS epidemic in Longgang District,Shenzhen City,2014
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摘要 目的通过Workbook模型对深圳市龙岗区2014年艾滋病疫情进行估计分析,为龙岗区的艾滋病防控工作政策的制定提供科学依据。方法在确定的某一地区内,根据当地艾滋病的流行情况,确定艾滋病流行集中的高危人群种类,选取高危人群的性伴作为低危人群,估计其他人群感染人数。结果高危人群规模估计为127715-218883人;低危人群规模为420596人;现存成年HIV感染者(15~49岁)数量1481人,HIV感染率为0.0499%。结论全区艾滋病疫情仍呈低流行状态,MSM在HIV感染者中的比例进一步上升到63.33%,因此在艾滋病防控的工作中必须继续加强MSM人群中健康干预以及哨点监测。 Objective To estimate and analyze the epidemic situation of HIV/AIDS in Longgang District, Shenzhen City in 2014 with Workbook model so as to provide a scientific basis for formulating AIDS prevention and control policy in Longgang District. Methods Sexual partners of high - risk populations were selected as low- risk populations to estimate the number of infections in the general population according to the epidemic situation of HIV/AIDS in a certain region. Results About 127,715 to 218,883 persons at high risk for and 420 to 596 persons at low risk for HIV infection were estimated in Longgang District. The number of persons living with HIV and aged between 15 and 49 years was 1,481, with an infection rate being 0. 0499 %. Conclusions HIV/AIDS epidemic is still in a low prevalence state in Longgang District, but the proportion of MSM infected with HIV rises to 63.33 %. Therefore, more attention should be paid to the health intervention of MSM group and sentinel surveillance so as to prevent the further spread of HIV/AIDS.
出处 《实用预防医学》 CAS 2016年第4期500-502,共3页 Practical Preventive Medicine
关键词 workbook模型 艾滋病 疫情估计 应用 Workbook model AIDS Epidemic estimation Application
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