摘要
能源是国民经济发展和社会进步的重要物质基础,也是影响人类生存环境的重要因素。本文基于系统动力学原理,运用相应的软件模拟预测我国2015-2020年的能源消费需求。为了满足能源需求,必须调整能源结构,大力发展科学技术,提高能源利用效率,逐步引进碳排放税。
Energy is an important material foundation of national economic development and social progress,and is also an important factor affecting the survival of the human environment.In this paper,it predicts energy consumption demand in China during 2015-2020 with software simulation based on system dynamics theory.To meet energy demand,it needs to adjust energy structure,fully develop science and technology and introduce carbon emission tax gradually.
出处
《华北电力大学学报（社会科学版）》
2016年第1期18-20,32,共4页
Journal of North China Electric Power University(Social Sciences)
关键词
系统动力学
能源需求
GDP
人口
环境
system dynamics
energy demand
GDP
population
environment
