欧盟、美国与俄罗斯:新三角关系的理论与现实变迁

EU,US and Russia: Change of New Strategic Triangle's Theory and Its Reality

战略三角关系的形成有着特定的时代背景和条件,以欧盟、美国和俄罗斯为代表的战略三角也同样是冷战后全球化大背景下的时代产物。与冷战的三角关系一样,新的三角关系仍是国际上重要行为体之间的权力关系。只是这种三角关系由于欧盟这一独特的行为体而表现出不同的特征。本文在传统三角关系的基础上进行了三次改造,即欧盟既包括代表整体的各机构,也包括欧盟成员国各行为体;三角关系由于问题领域的不同具有非零和博弈的特征;三角关系影响的关联性,本文在三次改造的基础上详细阐述了三角关系各方互动带来的政策效应,力图揭示三角关系中互动的本质。最后分析了未来欧美俄三角关系发展过程中需要注意的问题。

The form of strategic triangle has a certain background and condition of the times. Relations among EU,US and Russia are no exception. The relations are also the product of globalization after the cold war. No less than the triangle of the cold war,new triangle remains the power relations between important actors. Merely,this new triangle has different characteristics from the old because of specificity of EU as an actor. The article remolds the theoretical analysis based on the old triangle,that is,EU as an independent actor contains its institutions and different members; non-zero game also exists in the new triangle owing to different agendas; and relevance of influence of new triangle. Moreover,the article still elucidates at length policy implications of each power,in order to reveal its nature of interaction of strategic triangle.At last,the article analyzes some problems that will appear in the relations among EU,US and Russia in the future.