我国纺织服装行业碳排放量与产业GDP的脱钩关系研究

Decoupling analysis on the relationship between carbon emission and IGDP of textile & apparel industry

作为我国重要的民生产业之一,纺织服装业的能源消费量在轻工业中处于第一位,对纺织服装业碳排放的估算及影响因素的分析具有重要意义。在估算纺织服装业碳排放量的基础上,分析了纺织服装业碳排放的能源消耗与碳排放量的关系。基于Tapio脱钩指标构建模式,详尽分析了我国纺织服装业碳排放与产业GDP之间存在的脱钩关系。通过计量的分析结果可以看到,我国纺织服装业的碳排放逐年增加,纺织业的碳排放较于纺织服装、鞋、帽制造业占有较大的比例,我国纺织服装业具有节能减排的需求,同时,纺织服装业碳排放与产业GDP存在弱脱钩关系,通过提高能源利用效率具有减少碳排放的潜力。

The energy consumption of China＇s textile and apparel industry is in the first place of the light industry,so it is important to analyze the influence factors and the potential of carbon emissions in the industry. Based on the estimation of carbon emissions,this paper analyzes the characteristics of carbon emissions,energy consumption and the relationship between carbon emissions and industrial GDP. The paper systematically analyzes that carbon emissions of textile and apparel industry and industry GDP have some kinds of decoupling relationship by using of Tapio Decoupling Analysis Model. On the basis of the analysis of carbon emission reduction measures,the main conclusions of this paper are： the carbon emissions in China＇s textile and garment industry has been increasing gradually,carbon emissions in the textile industry occupies a large proportion,China＇s textile and garment industry has the demand for energy-saving emission reduction. Carbon emissions of textile and apparel industry and industry GDP have weak decoupling relationship. We can reduce carbon emissions by improving efficiency of energy use.