“十三五”时期我国经济质量型增长的战略选择与实现路径

The Development Strategy and Paths of Quality-oriented Economic Growth in the 13th Five-Year Plan Period

"十三五"时期是中国经济发展的关键阶段,不仅要完成全面建成小康社会的重要任务,而且要在深化改革中取得突破性进展。通过构建经济增长质量指数指标体系来对"十二五"期间中国经济增长的质量水平进行测算和评价,并在分析制约"十三五"时期质量型增长的因素的基础上,提出"十三五"期间实现质量型增长的发展战略要由赶超战略向质量效益战略转型。质量效益战略的实现路径在于:由要素驱动型向创新驱动型经济增长转型;实现供给侧改革和需求侧扩大内需的结合;改善民生,共享经济增长与改革深化的成果;改善资源环境问题,推进绿色发展。

The period of the 13th Five-Year Plan will be a crucial period for China＇s economic development. We will not only finish building a all-round well-off society, but also make breakthrough progress in comprehensively deepening reform. In this paper, we use the Quality Index of Economic Growth to analyze the quality of economic growth in the period of the 12th Five-Year Plan, on the basis of which we further analyze the factors that will restrict quality-oriented economic growth in the period of the 13th Five-Year Plan. In this case, we argue that the development strategy needs to transform from the overtaking strategy to the quality and efficiency strategy. The major paths to realize this strategy include： transform from element-driven development to innovationdriven growth; combine the supply-end reform with the increase of domestic demand; improve people＇s livelihood, let them share the outcome of economic growth and deepened reform; and solve resource and environmental problems to promote green development.