出口对高技术产业引进技术的影响机制研究

Research on Effect of Export upon Imported Technology in High-tech Industry

针对我国高技术产业出口不断增长与引进技术比重不断下降的现状,本文首先分析了出口对引进技术的作用机制,认为其正向机制包括出口创汇需求、发达国家制造业转移,负向机制主要体现在出口商品结构低端化导致引进技术需求不足、部分高端产品出口对引进技术需求降低、国际竞争导致企业重视研发降低引进技术需求。基于面板数据模型和贝叶斯向量自回归模型的研究结果表明,出口对引进技术影响的弹性系数为负,说明负向机制大于正向机制,其根本原因是我国出口商品结构低端化所致,出口与引进技术的关系呈现U型曲线。

With high-tech industry export growing and proportion of imported technology declining,this paper firstly analyzes the mechanism of action which export affects the introduction of technology and considers the positive mechanisms,which contain export demand and manufacturing transfer in developed countries. Nevertheless,the negative mechanisms mainly reflect in the low-end of export commodity structure,which leads to the shortage of technical requirements,export of some high-end products results in reducing demand and international competition leads to that enterprises pay attention to research on development and reduce demand. Based on the panel data model and Bayesian vector autoregressive model,the results show the elasticity coefficient of export to imported technology is negative,therefore the negative mechanism is more than the positive,the fundamental cause is that the structure of China＇s exported commodity is low-end and the relationship between export and imported technology is an u-shaped curve.