人口迁移视角下的随迁老人城市居留意愿研究

Research on Living Inclination of the Aged Migrants in Cities from the Perspective of Population Migration

以福建省农村随迁老人城市生活状况的调查数据为基础,对随迁老人城市居留意愿及其影响因素进行分析。研究发现,随迁老人的总体城市居留意愿不高,其中女性、高龄者、生活自理能力差、语言沟通较强的老人居留意愿较高。通过二元Logistic回归分析研究表明,家庭因素是最显著影响因素,城市适应程度、农村预期收入对随迁老人城市居留意愿有明显的影响。随迁老人城市居留决策是在充分权衡城市和乡村生活状况,综合平衡家庭其他成员需求基础上做出的理性选择。

Based on the survey data of living situation of the aged migrants from Fujian Province,this paper makes an analysis on their living inclination and the influencing factors. The results show that their overall willingness of living in cities is not high,but women,the elderly,people with poor self-care ability and people with strong language communication ability have higher residence intention.Binary Logistic regression analysis indicates that family is one of the most significant factors,city adaptation degree and rural expected income also have significant impacts. The rational choice by the aged migrants depends on balancing urban and rural living conditions and the demands of all other family members.