省级区域人口吸引力对主体功能区规划的影响与启示

Regional Population Attraction at Province Level:Impacts on and Implications for the Main Functional Zones Planning

改革开放促进了区域联系,人口流动也越发频繁。人口之所以从一个地区流动到另外一个地区,是因为流入地对其有吸引力。文章使用全国第六次人口普查数据得到的省际人口流动矩阵,借鉴测度吸引力的RIA指标,测算了我国31个省(直辖市、自治区)人口吸引力。结果显示:以广东、浙江、上海、北京、江苏为代表的东部沿海的优化开发区吸引力最大,以山西、甘肃、青海、宁夏、西藏为代表的中西部偏远的限制开发区吸引力最小。为了引导人口有序流动,促进人口合理分布,利于主体功能区规划的顺利实施,优化开发区要促进产业升级、合理控制人口规模,重点开发区要在承接产业转移的同时提升产业层次;限制开发区要注重生态环境保护和做好精准扶贫。

Since China＇s reform and opening up,connections between the regions in China are getting increasingly closer,with more and more frequent population migration. The reason why people migrate from one region to another is because of the attraction of the inflow area. This paper uses the 6thnational population census data and the attractiveness measurement indicator RIA to calculate the attraction index for China＇s 31 provinces. The result shows that the east coastal zone,which represented by Guangdong,Zhejiang,Shanghai,Jiangsu and Beijing,has the largest attraction for migrants. On the other hand,the far west region,defined as restricted development region,which represented by Gansu,Qinghai,Ningxia and Tibet,has the least attraction for migrants. Policy implications are discussed regarding industrial upgrading,population control,environmental protection,and targeted poverty alleviation.