“一带一路”视域下我国省域经济开放度提升的实证研究——基于空间面板模型的分析

An Empirical Study on Provincial-level Economic Openness in China under the“One Belt,One Road”Strategy——An Analysis Based on the Spatial Panel Model

文章在"一带一路"视域下对我国1995-2014年28个省份的经济开放度进行测算,在此基础上,通过构建空间计量模型探析我国省域经济开放度的驱动因素,为全面提升我国开放型经济水平提供依据。实证结果表明:我国经济开放度由东部至西部呈"阶梯状"分布,且东西部区域差异较大,中西部区域差异不大;各省域经济开放度之间存在逐年增强的空间集聚性;人力资本的积累、区位条件的改善以及创新能力的提高是驱动经济开放度提升的重要"引擎",交通基础设施、产业结构升级以及金融发展三种驱动因素在不同的经济开放度水平下,对经济开放度提升的"催化"效果有所差异。基于此,结合一带一路的建设,为各省域推动经济开放提出差异化建议。

The paper measures economic openness of 28 provincial-level administrative regions in China from 1995 to 2014 under the＂One Belt,One Road＂strategy. The paper also,by building a spatial econometric model,analyzes the driving factorsof provincial-level economic openness in order to provide a basis for the comprehensive improvement of the level of open econ-omy in China. The empirical results show that： China＇s economic openness from the east to the west presents a＂stepped＂dis-tribution,and the difference between eastern and western regions is large,whereas the difference in central and western re-gions is small; The spatial agglomeration of economic openness among provincial-level administrative regions is increasingyear by year; The accumulation of human capital,the improvement of location conditions and the enhancement of innovationcapability are an important＂engine＂to drive economic openness,the three driving factors： transportation infrastructure con-struction,upgrading of industrial structure and financial development,have different＂catalytic＂effects on the promotion ofeconomic openness under different levels of economic openness. Accordingly,the paper proposes different suggestions for pro-vincial- level administrative regions to promote economic openness combined with the construction of the＂One Belt,OneRoad＂strategy.