国际原油期货价格波动对中国物价的冲击被引量：12

The Impact of International Crude oil Price Fluctuations on China's Price System

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摘要原油作为世界生产过程中必不可少的能源动力以及化工用品原材料,它的价格波动通过各种方式传导至人们的日常生活中。通过对国际原油价格波动的梳理,文章将原油价格引入中间品生产函数,通过最终品的产出以及工资利率的确定,研究了原油价格波动对中国工资、利率、物价的影响机制。文章研究发现,国际原油价格因素对我国的宏观经济具有显著的冲击影响,影响到了原材料价格以及进口商品价格,通过中间品价格的传导对消费品价格、工资具有较强影响,但对利率水平影响较弱。 As one of the most important energy and chemical raw materials,crude oil with its fluctuating price imposes great influence on our daily price system.This article launched the model by introducing the price of intermediate goods into the terminal production.We find the determination mechanism of wage rates and intermediate goods,which are critical tunnel to transfer price.Crude oil price will have ohvious impact on consumer prices and wages,with a little impart on interest rates.

作者石先进赵志君

机构地区中国社会科学院研究生院中国社会科学院经济研究所

出处《世界经济研究》 CSSCI 北大核心 2016年第4期94-106,136,共13页 World Economy Studies

基金国家自然科学基金项目"中国--中亚货币合作与人民币区域化和国际化研究"(项目编号:71263050) 中国社会科学院经济研究所"再分配与公共福利的政治经济学"项目支持

关键词原油价格利率物价工资率中间产品

分类号 F764.1 [经济管理—产业经济] F713.35 [经济管理—产业经济] F726 [经济管理—产业经济]

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