2016年欧盟面临的挑战和机遇

The Challenges and Opportunities Facing the European Union in 2016

本文认为,虽然欧洲在2016年很难完全解决乌克兰危机和难民危机,但是通过欧盟及其成员国的努力,这两个危机还是能得到控制的。同时,应对恐怖主义袭击的威胁将是欧洲2016年的重中之重。在欧洲一体化方面,2016年英国举行脱欧公投的可能性极大,但公投的结果扑朔迷离。然而,不论公投结果如何,对于欧洲一体化来说,都将产生相当的负面影响,尽管这并不意味着欧盟将会解体。值得注意的是,2016年欧洲经济形势较为乐观,希腊债务危机可以得到缓解和控制,欧盟国内生产总值增长也可能超过2.1%。看欧洲之前景,似乎已露熹微之晨光。

This paper argues that it is difficult for Europe to completely solve the Ukrainian crisis and the refugee crisis in 2016,but both crises can still be controlled through the efforts of the EU and its member states. Meanwhile,responding to the threat of terrorist attacks will be the top priority for Europe in 2016. In terms of European integration,there is a good chance that the UK will hold the referendum on its membership of the European Union in 2016,but the results of the referendum are hard to tell. Regardless of the referendum outcome,it will have a considerable negative impact on European integration,although this does not mean that the EU will disinte-grate. It is worth noting that the economic situation in Europe is more sanguine in2016,the Greek debt crisis can be eased and controlled,and the EU's GDP growth rate is likely to exceed 2. 1%. Looking forward,the outlook of Europe seems to show the sign of the early light of dawn.