中国能源消费区域差异分析及成因分解——基于Shapley值分解方法

Research on Provincial Difference and Influential Factors of the China's Energy Consumption

本文选取2007～2012年中国省际面板数据,利用泰尔指数、基尼系数及对数离差均值等指标对中国能源消费区域差异进行测度,并基于Shapley值分解方法,对中国能源消费差异的成因进行分解.实证结果表明,中国能源消费区域差异呈现逐年缩小的特征,且东部地区能源消费区域差异最为明显,西部次之,中部地区能源消费区域差异最小.Shapley值分解结果表明经济发展水平对能源消费区域差异的贡献最大,城市化次之,政府干预是能源消费区域差异的第三大贡献因素,且贡献度呈现逐年递增特点,研发投入及对外开放水平的提高有助于缩小能源消费的区域差异.

An empirical research on the provincial differences of china's energy consumption and its influencing factors was conducted by using the provincial panel data during 2007 to 2012.The empirical results showed that the provincial differences of China's energy consumption presented a feature of shrinking year by year, and the differences in eastern provinces are most obvious, then western provinces, central regions least. The level of economic development, government intervention and the level of urbanization have a significant positive impact on energy consumption, R & D investment and the improvement level of economic openness help to reduce energy consumption. The decomposition of Shapley value indicated the level of economic development is the first most important factor to affect the Provincial Differences of China's energy consumption, the level of urbanization is the second, and government intervention is the third. R&D investment and improving the level of economic openness helped to narrow the provincial difference of energy consumption.