全球镍矿资源开发利用现状及供需分析

Study on Current Situation and Analysis of Supply and Demand of Global Nickel Resource

全球镍矿资源分布极不均衡,近60%的镍资源集中在澳大利亚、新喀里多尼亚、巴西、俄罗斯四国。全球镍资源主要为红土型镍矿和硫化物镍矿,未来镍资源的勘探开发重点将向红土型镍矿转变。在过去的百年里全球镍的价格与全球经济增速一样,呈一定周期性波动,并且二者显示出正相关关系,现阶段镍价刚刚经历一个高峰期,短期内镍价格将呈弱势局面。通过全面分析全球镍矿的资源现状、勘探开发、供需状况、价格等因素的变化趋势,为我国镍矿业的投资、开发、管理提供参考依据。

The distribution of global nickel resource is uneven,almost 60 percent of which is located in Australia,New Caledonia,Brazil and Russia. The nickel resource is composed of laterite nickel ore and nickel sulfide ore,and the former would be the exploration and development focus in future. In the past century,the global nickel price has a center cyclical fluctuation just like global growth,and there is a positive correlation between them. But now,it just experienced a peak and would maintain low in the short term. Through the comprehensive analysis of variation tendency of current situation,exploration and development,status of supply and demand and nickel price,a reasonable reference basis was proposed for nickel ore investment,exploitation and management in China.