中国乌龙茶出口现状与供给弹性测算分析

The Current Status of China Oolong Tea Export and Its Supply Elasticity

近年来,我国乌龙茶出口呈现波动状态。为了对我国乌龙茶未来贸易趋势准确预测,本文在分析我国乌龙茶出口现状基础上,对我国乌龙茶出口供给弹性进行了测算。结果显示:我国乌龙茶出口总体缺乏弹性,表明我国乌龙茶出口国际市场消费稳定;同时,提出了我国应继续提高乌龙茶质量水平并拓展乌龙茶传统出口市场的对策和建议。

China is the world oolong tea origin, and also the world oolong tea biggest export country. In recent years, China Oolong Tea exports fl uctuated. In order to accurately predict the future trade of China Oolong Tea trend, this paper fi rstly introduced Chinese Oolong Tea exports, then calculated Chinese Oolong Tea export supply elasticity. The results shows that China＇s Oolong Tea export overall lack of fl exibility. In between 2004 and 2014, only 2005-2006 and 2008-2009, Chinese Oolong Tea export behaved elasticity. The other left years lacks elasticity, which indicated that the China Oolong Tea＇s international consumption remains stable and the future export quantity and price will not fl uctuate drastically, and it will change in normal condition. On this basis, the countermeasures and suggestions of improving the quality of Oolong tea and expanding the traditional export market of Oolong tea was proposed.