“丝绸之路经济带”背景下中国与核心国家经济贸易关系——基于SEM模型的实证研究

China with the Core State Economic and Trade Cooperation Under the “The Silk Road Economic Belt”:Based on the SEM Empirical Research Model

在"丝绸之路经济带"背景下,中国与"丝绸之路经济带"上的核心国家的贸易合作越来越密切,但是中国进口的商品中很大比例都是能源类型的产品,这样的商品贸易和中国环境恶化的问题是否有相关关系。运用结构方程模型(SEM)的研究方法去测量"丝绸之路经济带"核心国家和地区的GDP、双边贸易量对潜在变量中国经济的影响。在潜在变量选取时把能源与环境问题考虑进来。最后发现,中国与核心国家的双边贸易能够促进中国经济的增长,但同时也加剧了中国环境污染的问题。

Under the ＂The Silk Road Economic Belt＂,the trade cooperation with China and core countries is more and more closely. But a large percentage in China＇s imported goods is energy type of products. Such goods trade did have some relationship with China＇s environmental problems. In this paper,we use the research methods of structural equation model（ SEM） to measure the core countries＇ GDP and value of trade use the potential variables on the impact of China＇s economy. At the same time we use the energy and the environment factors in the potential variables. At last we find that two- way trade between China and the core can promote China＇s economic growth,but aggravate the problems of environmental pollution in China.