普通高校“体教结合”模式发展的系统动力学模型与仿真研究

System Dynamics Model and Simulation of “Combination of Sports and Education” Mode in the University

运用文献资料、专家咨询等方法,以系统动力原理与方法为工具,对普通高校＂体教结合＂模式的系统边界、结构与关键变量进行分析,通过绘制普通高校＂体教结合＂模式发展的因果关系图、流图并撰写系统动力学方程式,建构普通高校＂体育结合＂模式发展的系统动力学模型。UNIT CHEEK和REALITY CHECK检验可知,模型误差范围为-4.93%~9.76%,具有较高的拟合度,可用于仿真实验。运动系统动力学仿真软件Vensim-PLE X32对普通高校竞技体育人才培养的＂体主教辅＂型模式、＂教主体辅＂型模式、＂体教均衡＂型模式进行仿真比较分析。仿真结果表明,＂体教均衡＂型竞技体育人才培养模式通过设置＂学训时间＂比例等参数,使高校高水平运动员在＂学习＂与＂训练＂之间能够找到合理的契合点,从而激活＂学＂＂训＂之间的非线性作用,实现＂学＂与＂训＂之间的良性循环,推动高校竞技体育人才培养不断发展,是一种健康科学的培养模式。

Used the method of literature and data,system analysis,mathematical statistics,this paper defines the range of＂Combination of Sports and Edu-cation＂mode,draws the causality diagram of＂Combination of Sports and Education＂mode development,constructs the system dynamics model of＂Combina-tion of Sports and Education＂mode,and the model error in-4.93%~9.76%. Used the system simulation software of Vensim-PLE X32,we studied the simu-lation analysis of＂sports leading development mode＂,＂education leading development mode＂,＂harmonious development model＂. The results showed that＂harmonious development＂is a scientific and healthy development mode.