“十三五”语境下中国文化经济发展研判

A Study and Estimation of Chinese Cultural Economy Development During the 13th Five-Year Plan Period

"十三五"时期是中国经济社会"稳增长,调结构"的关键时期,结合对近十年文化产业、文化财政投入、文化金融、文化消费与文化贸易的数据分析,进而对"十三五"时期语境下文化经济的发展进行研判,认为文化产业发展仍处于可以大有作为的机遇期,文化财政加大投入还会保持,且社会资本参与力度加大,多元多层次文化资本市场正逐渐形成,文化消费将蓄势待发,文化贸易也将进一步带动软实力的提升。

During the 13 th Five Plan period,China will continue its focus on economic structure adjustment and maintain the ＂medium-high growth rate＂of its economy. Based on the statistics analysis of cultural industries,financial investment to culture,cultural fiance,cultural consumption and cultural trade in recent ten years,it has been studied and estimated that in the context of 13 th Five Plan period,China ＇s cultural industry can still accomplish a great deal of opportunities; its financial investment to culture will keep an increase; its multi-level cultural capital market is gradually forming; its cultural consumption will boom and its cultural trade will further drive national soft power enhancement.