深圳对外贸易结构与经济增长的关系研究——基于1994—2013年数据的实证分析

The Relationship between Trade Structure and Economic Growth:An Empirical Research Based on Shenzhen from the Year of 1994 to 2013

基于国际贸易通过规模经济或促进技术进步从而推动经济增长的新增长理论假定,在柯布-道格拉斯生产函数中引入了对外贸易变量,对深圳市1994—2013年贸易结构与经济增长的关系进行了实证分析。结果表明:扩大出口总量、促进出口产业升级和鼓励自主创新是未来深圳贸易结构优化的总体方向。最后,提出了优化进出口贸易结构和支持自主创新型企业并重的政策建议。

Based on the New Growth Theory assumption that foreign trade promotes the economic growth through scale economy and technological progress,we introduce foreign trade variables into the Cobb- Douglas production function,and take empirical analysis of the relationship between trade structure and economic growth of Shenzhen from 1994 to 2013. The results show that exports expanding,industrial upgrading and independent innovation is the overall direction of the trade structure optimization of Shenzhen in future. Implementing market diversification strategy,optimizing the trade structure and supporting independent innovation should be paid equal attention to.