基于灰色模型的乌鲁木齐市人口与医疗需求预测探究

Prediction exploration of urumqi city population and medical needs based on the grey model

本文针对乌鲁木齐市人口数量和医疗床位需求的问题,结合大量乌鲁木齐市往年的人口及相关统计数据,考虑乌鲁木齐市产业结构变化及人口老龄化加剧等实际情况,综合运用灰色模型、数据拟合等方法建立了预测模型,比较合理的预测了乌鲁木齐市未来五年的人口数量及医疗床位需求。

This paper aiming at the problem of uru-mqi＇s population and medical beds demand, combined with a large number of population and the related statistical data, considering the changes of industrial structure of urumqi and population ages and the actual situation, the integrated use of grey model and data fitting method, the prediction model is established, and a reasonable prediction of the future five years the number of people in urumqi and medical beds..