重议人口安全:安全化的视角

Re-examining Population Security:From a Safety-based Perspective

人口安全理论自出现以来已有不少理论成果,为实证研究提供了思路。然而近年来该理论研究趋冷,重要原因之一即"人口安全"这一术语很容易为其他词语所替代,但各类人口问题与人口安全在安全化上的区别是难以替代的,因为安全化是一个不同于安全本身并通过言语行为建构威胁的过程——使沉默的安全"发声"的过程。人口安全问题的沉默给社会带来威胁,而人口安全是否沉默取决于社会成员对人口问题的评估和预测,因此,需要创造民主的环境来集中社会各团体的智慧。安全化有助于人们更有效地识别和应对威胁。人口问题安全化有两种路径:政治化路径与社会化路径,在安全化的过程中,这两种路径分别自上而下和自下而上发挥各自的作用。人口安全理论对安全化的研究目前还较为缺乏,有较大的发展空间。

The theoretical studies of population security have been on the decline in recent years.This paper conducts a literary review of the birth,development and decline of the theory,examines the causes of the decline and proposes a new perspective— population securitization—to revive,enrich and revitalize the theory.The theory of population security,born in China,is a branch of the non-traditional security-management theory put forward by Zhang Weiqing during the SARS period.After the birth of the theory,there was a heated discussion in the academic circle,and″population security″was a high-frequency keyword both in policy reports and in academic research papers.The amount of literature reached its peak in 2005 in CNKI＇s database,covering the concept,application and significance of population security.As SARS died down,academic research went into decline and the amount of literature in CNKI＇s database gradually reduced after 2006.This is not because China had fewer population problems,but because scholars were turning to other concepts instead.On one hand,population security is an abstract concept which covers all the threats to population and is therefore not an ideal concept for empirical research which is typically multi-topical and specialized.On the other hand,even though population security highlights threat,it can be easily replaced by other terms.However,during the formation of the theory,the process of speech acts constituting threat,i.e.,the process of securitization,was neglected.This is a concept which cannot be replaced by other concepts.The problem of population security can thus be understood as a″securitized″population problem,while the population problem which has not been securitized is a silent one.The danger of the silent security problem lies in people＇s neglect of population-related threats,and the significance of securitization is to raise people＇s awareness of and alertness to such threats and to take due action.There are two approaches to securitization：politicalization and socialization.The former constructs threat by policy and law,while the latter does this by constructing a civil society.The advantage of the former is the authority of the government,while that of the latter is its flexibility.These two approaches can be applied simultaneously so that their different roles can be exerted.