基于Logistic回归模型的NBA与CBA控球实效的对比研究

Comparative Study on the Effectiveness of Control the Ball based on Logistic Model Between NBA and CBA

为了预测和掌握NBA和CBA的控球实效与相关指标变量之间的交互作用,运用录像观察法、数理统计法、逻辑对比分析法等,从2014-2015赛季NBA和CBA联赛中分别随机抽取10场常规赛和10场季后赛(共计40场),对与比赛控球实效(因变量)相关的情景变量和比赛时段变量(自变量)进行非条件Logistic回归分析,探寻NBA和CBA比赛中与控球实效相关变量的异同,进而挖掘与NBA和CBA比赛控球成功相关联的绩效指标并进行讨论,旨在为我国CBA或国家队备战提供一定的理论参考。

The aim of the present study is to forecast and master the interaction between the effectiveness of control the ball and the related performance indicators in NBA and CBA,the author used the video observation,mathematical statistics and logical comparison analysis method,etc and randomly selected 10 regular-season and playoff games（ Total 40 games） from 2014-2015 season NBA and CBA league,and unconditional logistic regression analysis between the successful control ball（ dependent variable）related contextual variables and game periods variables（ independent variables）,to explore the similarities and differences of variables which associated with the effect of the ball between the NBA and CBA,and farther excavating and discussing the associated with the ball success of performance indicators between the NBA and CBA,aimed is to provides certain theoretical reference for our country or CBA teams.