生产、收入与成本:中国粮食补贴政策绩效分析

Production,Revenue and Cost:China's Food Subsidy Policy Performance Analysis

本文通过建立省级面板数据模型并利用OECD数据库数据分别测算出我国粮食产量和生产者剩余的增加值、消费者和纳税人承担的成本以及福利转移的损失部分,以实证2004年以来以托市收购为代表的价格支持政策对我国粮食安全保障和农民收入增加的具体贡献。结果表明,各品种受比较优势、市场对外开放程度、国际贸易比例等因素影响其政策效果不尽相同。为此,论文提出要顺应市场规律、发挥比较优势、产品创新改良、积极推行价差补贴政策等若干针对性建议。

This paper calculates the grain output,producer surplus value- added,the cost of consumers and taxpayer and the loss of the welfare transfer via establishing provincial panel data models and OECD database,in order to provide a solid evidence that the government＇ s price supporting policy,purchasing grain in a certain price so as to support the market,has contributed a lot to secure food security of our country and improve income of people in rural areas since2004. The result indicates that the competitive advantages,the degree of marketing opening and international trade proportion and other factors exert different impact to the different sorts. This paper presents advice such as following the market discipline,making good use of competitive advantages,improving and reforming the product and actively promoting price subsidy policy.