民进党重返执政与两岸关系发展前景分析

DPP Returning to Power and the Analysis of the Prospects of Cross-Strait Relations

民进党在2016年台湾地区领导人选举中大胜,重返执政的民进党不但对台湾政治生态发展产生重大影响,而且也会对两岸关系发展带来深刻变化。由于民进党至今尚未完全放弃分离主义的政治意识形态,民进党执政下两岸关系发展的走向无疑充满更多的不确定性。本文认为未来两岸关系有可能会呈现出冷和平状态,两岸民间交流将成为两岸互动的主要内容,两岸关系和平发展的外部环境更为复杂,两岸关系的稳定度从而大为降低。

The fact that DPP wining the island＇s leadership election in 2016 and returning to power not only will have a significant impact on the development of Taiwan＇s political environment, but also bring profound changes on the development of cross-Straits relations. Due to DPP having not yet completely abandoned the political ideology of separatism, the cross-Straits relations will be undoubtedly full of more uncertainty. The paper argued that the future of cross-Strait relations may appear to be state of cold peace, people-to-people exchanges will become the main form of cross-Strait interaction. The external environment of the peaceful development of cross-Strait relations will be more complex and the stability of cross-Strait relations thus greatly be reduced.