模糊综合评价法在水库移民安置评估实践中的应用

Application of the Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation Method to Assessment Practice of Land Acquisition and Resettlement for Construction of A Reservoir

水库移民安置工作涉及面广、参与方众多,是一项复杂的社会系统工程,对移民安置及其相应政策的实施效果进行客观评价,可以为下步工作的开展和导向提供科学依据。现阶段评估实践工作中,评估效度主要依靠各方座谈和定性描述的方式体现,未能进行同一性的量化分析,所提出的结论建议宽泛且针对性局限。引入模糊综合评价法可以对评估指标的隶属度加以量化,提高评估工作在实践中的准确度和可靠度。通过应用该方法对云鹏水电站移民安置独立评估进行例证分析,提取出该方法在评估实践中的适宜性,进而提高下步工作建议措施的针对性。

The land acquisition and resettlement work for construction of a reservoir is a complex social systems engineering project involving many areas, many departments and many participants. The objective evaluation of implementation of the resettlement and its corresponding policies can provide scientific basis for guiding and carrying out the next stage work. At present the evaluation is mainly conducted based on the informal discussions of various participants concerned and qualitative description without quantitative analysis, in which the comments offered and conclusions made are often in general terms and don＇t go into details. The application of the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method is able to quantify the conformity of the evaluation indexes, thus improving practical accuracy and reliability of the evaluation. The method was used to perform case analysis of the independent evaluation of the land acquisition and resettlement for construction of Yunpeng hydropower project, and then its conformity was obtained to put forward proper measures for the next stage work.