教练暂停效应对篮球比赛胜负影响的调查分析

The Research and Analysis on the Time-out Effect of Basketball Coach

多数人认为教练员的暂停对篮球比赛是有影响的,但这种影响的时机与效果并没有明确数据分析与比赛的胜负有何种必然联系.通过文献、录像比较分析表明:1).胜队在前三节的暂停次数上均低于负队,尤其第三节比赛.每节赢队在暂停后前三回合成功率和次数均高于输队.2).暂停对得分势头影响呈递减趋势,积极效应尤为明显.3).每节暂停时间集中在10、6、3、1min,负队第10min暂停数明显高过胜队.4).胜队暂停后前三回合成功率与负队无显著差异,但胜队前三回合呈逐渐递增,而负队正好相反.

Most people thought that there was some relationship between the outcomes and time-out in basketball game. Statistical results from literature and video showed that： 1）. the total time-out number in the first three quarters of the winner team was lower than that of loser team, especially the third quarter; the success rate and number of the first three round offensives after pause of quarter winner were higher than that of the quarter loser. 2）. The pause effect showed a decreasing trend along with the hot streak whatever positive or passive, especially the former one. 3 ）. The pause point of each team in each section was concentrated in 10, 6, 3, and 1 min; the loser team paused more than the winner team significantly in the 10th min. 4）.The winner and loser team had no differences in the first three offensive success number and rate after pause, but that of the winner team was gradually increasing, the loser team just the opposite.