我国城乡居民消费水平影响因素的实证研究

Urban and Rural Residents in China: An Empirical Study of Factors Affecting the Consumption Level

在城市化已经成为国家经济发展水平衡量标准的背景下,一个国家若是想促进经济增长求得发展,就必须进行城市化建设[1],借助扩大内需促进经济增长的方式逐渐缩小城乡差距。本文利用1993—2013年共21年的数据,选取了城镇居民人均可持续收入、农村居民人均可持续收入、城乡居民银行储蓄存款3个因素利用回归模型分析对居民消费水平的影响。实证分析结果显示,城乡居民的边际消费倾向都比较接近1,表明城乡居民收入水平及居民银行存款对居民的消费水平有显著的正向影响。

In order to promote economic growth, consumption was one of the three carriages, played an irreplaceable role in the economic development. Along with the rapid progress of our country economy, only by relying on the increase in domestic demand and boost the economy, can we truly achieve the MFN Huimin. The three factors of urban residents per capita sustainable income, rural residents per capita sustainable income, urban and rural residents of bank savings deposits were selected by regression model analysis of the impact to the residents＇ consumption level in this paper, using the 21 years of data from 1993 to 2013. The empirical analysis showed that urban and rural residents＇ marginal propensity to consume was close to 1, and the income level of residents and residents of urban and rural bank deposits on the consumption level of residents had a positive effect of one significantly. Therefore, to improve the income level of urban and rural residents, narrow the income gap between urban and rural residents has important practical significance to improve the overall level of consumption of Chinese residents.