新疆餐厨垃圾产生量预测的实证研究

An Empirical Study on the Prediction of the Amount of Kitchen Garbage Generated in Xinjiang

随着新疆经济和人口的增加,新疆餐厨垃圾的产生量与日剧增。餐厨垃圾的处理问题较为紧迫。要对餐厨垃圾进行收集、运输、处理,首先要对新疆餐厨垃圾产生量的统计预测,然而受城市规模和人口数量等因素的限制,餐厨垃圾产生量的确切数据较难掌握,运用主成份分析法对新疆餐厨垃圾产生量的影响因素进行分析,建立餐厨垃圾产生量的回归模型,对新疆餐厨垃圾的产生量进行科学预测。

With the growth of the economy and population in Xinjiang, the volume of kitchen garbage generated is increasingyear by year, which exerts certain bad influence towards the city management, environmental protection andpeople＇s health. Therefore, the handle of kitchen garbage is an urgent issue. In order to collect, transport and process thegarbage in an efficient way, it is necessary to forecast the amount of kitchen waste generated in Xinjiang. However, as itis restricted by the city size and population, an accurate number of garbage volume is not easy to access. This paper analyzesthe factors influencing garbage production by adopting the method of principal component analysis, and establishesa regression model to predict the amount of kitchen garbage in a scientific way.