未来我国对外资产负债的规模与结构探析

The Analysis on the Scales and Structures of China's External Assets and Liabilities in the Future

本文通过分析工业国家整体、发展中国家整体(不包括我国)以及我国在1970-2011年间对外资产负债的规模与结构,指出资本账户开放政策会深刻影响一国对外资产负债的规模与结构。结合上述分析,本文对2025年我国对外资产负债的规模和结构进行了预测与展望。

By analyzing the scales and structures of external assets and liabilities of industrial countries, developing countries(except China) and China from 1970 to 2011, the paper points out that the policies of the capital account liberalizations will deeply affect the scales and structures of a certain country's external assets and liabilities. Combining the above analysis, the paper predicts the scale and structure of China's external assets and liabilities in 2025.